Hello Subscribers,
The party is over. Bitcoin has confirmed its cycle top and we have officially entered a bear market—a necessary phase after the explosive growth of the last few years.
📉 Why We're Calling the Top
The evidence is clear:
Halving Cycle Completion: We followed the historical pattern, peaking roughly 12-18 months post-Halving.
Technical Breakdown Confirmed: Bitcoin has broken down from a significant Rising Wedge pattern on technical charts—a key bearish reversal signal. The resulting target is the wedge's base, which aligns with the structural $50,000 level. Expect the market to take several months to potentially reach this next major structural support.
Macro Pressure: Global economic tightening (rising rates) is systematically driving capital out of high-risk assets like crypto.
— Coin Lab
Navigating the Downturn
Expect lower lows, sharp volatility, and periods of prolonged boredom. This is the time to be smart, not emotional.
Dollar-Cost Average (DCA): Use a consistent, disciplined approach to accumulate slowly throughout this low-interest phase.
Focus on Fundamentals: Ignore the price hype. Focus on projects that are genuinely building during the downturn.
Our View: Bear markets are where true wealth is built. Be patient, be secure, and be prepared for the next cycle.
Stay strong and strategic,
James Smith, The Market Views